Labour market resilience, bottlenecks
and spatial mobility in Croatia
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Author: Peter Gladoic HAKANSSON,
Predrag BEJAKOVIC
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Abstract: After the Great Recession, unemployment rose quickly.
During 2013-2014, Croatia registered unemployment rates
above 17%, which were way over the EU 28 average. Today,
Croatia experiences bottlenecks on the labour market:
job vacancies are increasingly lacking suitably skilled
candidates. Thus, the Croatian labour market adapts
poorly to both recession and the booming economy; in
other words, the Croatian labour market has a low
resilience. An economy with a high labour market
resilience can benefit from a booming economy, while an
economy in the opposite situation faces wage inflation
and loss of competitiveness. This article aims to
analyse and discuss the role of labour mobility in
reducing labour market bottlenecks and thereby
increasing labour market resilience in Croatia.
Keywords: labour market, labour force
mismatch, Croatia, bottleneck occupations, spatial
mobility, labour market resilience,
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Pages: 5-25 |
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How to measure territorial
accessibility. An accessibility evaluation model applied in the
European Union space
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Authors: Cezar TECLEAN, Gabriela DRĂGAN
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Abstract: In this paper we propose a
quantitative model of territorial accessibility provided
by the endowment of transport infrastructure for the
European Union reference space. For this purpose, we
designed a composite index calculated at regional NUTS 2
level, which includes the following proxy variables
representative for the assessment of territorial
equipment with transport networks: the densities of the
motorways network, the high-speed rails network and the
inland waterways, the number of interregional links on
the motorway, high-speed railway and inland waterway,
the number of airports and ports of the trans-European
core network. Based on said index values, we have
developed a spatial model of the deficit accessibility
in the Community space and a synoptic of the possible
solutions for the development of transport networks, as
a prerequisite for the homogenization of the territorial
accessibility and the improve of the territorial
cohesion.
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Keywords: territorial accessibility,
transport infrastructure, territorial cohesion, European
Union,
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Pages: 26-47 |
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Does higher cash-in-hand income motivate
young people to engage in under-declared employment?
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Authors: Ioana Alexandra HORODNIC,
Colin C WILLIAMS, Rodica IANOLE-CĂLIN
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Abstract: The aim of this paper is to
analyse financial gains as a motive for engaging in
under-declared employment (choosing envelope wages)
amongst youth population. A youth profile of those more
likely to choose envelope wages for financial gains is
proposed, based on socio-demographic characteristics.
Reporting on a survey amongst 1,059 students and
employing logistic regression analysis, the finding is
that unmarried undergraduate students with a difficult
financial situation are more likely to choose envelope
wages for a higher cash-in-hand income. Various
theoretical explanations and motivations for engaging in
such noncompliant behaviour are then explored to test
their validity for the youth population.
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Keywords: under-declared employment,
under-declared wages, envelope wages, undeclared work,
financial motivation,
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Pages: 48-69 |
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Terrorism - workers' remittances nexus:
empirical evidence from Turkey
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Authors: Yilmaz Onur ARI, Ibrahim BELLO
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Abstract: The paper examines the
impacts of remittances on terrorism for Turkish economy
by using annual time series data covering the period of
1990-2019. Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) was
used in the application of econometric method. To ensure
robustness of results, the study accounts for structural
breaks in the unit root test and the co-integration
analysis. The results obtained indicated that
remittances flows to Turkey have a positive and
significant effect on terrorism. This is in line with
the empirical evidence that finances through remittances
can promote terrorism in a country. The study also
concludes that unemployment has strong a correlation in
promoting terrorism in Turkish economy and that
persistent unemployment can cause economic inequality,
poverty, social dislocation, unrest, and conflict such
as terrorism, which has a negative impact on subsequent
long-run economic growth. Besides, trade openness shows
a negative but significant effect, which indicates that
trade openness has a little influence in promoting
terrorism.
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Keywords: remittances, terrorism,
Turkish economy, economic growth, unemployment,
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Pages: 70-93 |
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Why workers engage in quasi-formal
employment? Some lessons from Croatia
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Authors: Josip FRANIC
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Abstract: Although quasi-formal
employment has become a constituent part of labour
markets around Europe, there is still limited
understanding of the exact mechanisms underlying this
illicit scheme. The lack of knowledge is particularly
pronounced when it comes to the rationales for workers
to accept such jobs regardless of all pitfalls attached.
To fill the gap, this paper elaborates on the most
important findings from qualitative interviews with 30
quasi-formal workers in Croatia. Besides low employment
prospects, this study conducted in 2015 also highlights
distrust in institutions, low intrinsic willingness to
pay taxes, lack of deterrence and misperception
regarding financial gain as the key factors shaping the
decisions of labour suppliers in this respect. Apart
from sizeable theoretical contribution, the findings
presented in this paper are also expected to assist
policymakers in Croatia and beyond in their endeavours
to reduce the attractiveness of wage underreporting for
workers.
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Keywords: quasi-formal employment,
under-declared employment, envelope wages, Croatia,
qualitative research,
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Pages: 94-112 |
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Measurement of personal income
tax progressivity in the post-socialist countries of Europe
compared to other OECD countries
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Author: Magda WISNIEWSKA-KUZMA
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Abstract: The aim of the article is to
measure and analyse changes in the steepness of PIT tax
progressivity in OECD countries in 2004-2017, using an
alternative method of measuring the type of tax
progression. The Steepness Progression Index was
developed based on the OECD's indicators of average and
marginal taxation in two selected income groups (67% and
167% of average remuneration). The index was used to
determine the type of tax progressivity: progressive,
regressive and proportional. The result of the empirical
study showed that seven OECD groups could be identified
among OECD countries with similar levels of progression
steepness. Post-socialist countries (except Slovenia)
formed one group of countries characterized by the
occurrence of regressive progression in the PIT tax and
a minimal difference between the average and marginal
taxation at both levels of income.
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Keywords: personal income tax
progressivity, measurement of tax progression,
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Pages: 113-131 |
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Heterogeneous VAT taxation in
the Czech economy
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Authors: Katerina GAWTHORPE
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Abstract: This study analyses the VAT
tax rate heterogeneity for the case of the Czech
Republic. While the European Union recommends tax
harmonization, the Czech legislature differentiates
among three VAT tax rate groups. Those tax groups'
composition has recently changed as the government
intends to ease the tax burden during the coronavirus
pandemic. Yet, the Czech authority misses an impact
evaluation tool of such policy measures for local
industries. The EU ambition and the ongoing tax-policy
reforms necessitate the model developed in this study
which analyses the tax effect at a detailed industrial
level. The simulation outcome discloses the sectors
which are the most susceptible to VAT taxation changes
and suggests the most beneficial tax differentiation
scheme to boost economic production. The results support
the current tax legislation changes in favour of the
more heterogeneous indirect tax rates. A lower tax rate
for the industrial sector seems especially advantageous
in mitigating the gross domestic product's negative tax
impact.
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Keywords: computable general
equilibrium model, Czech Republic, VAT tax,
input-output,
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Pages: 132-159 |
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The VaR comparison of the fresh
investment tool-BITCOIN with other conventional investment
tools, gold, stock exchange (BIST100) and foreign currencies
(EUR/USD vs TRL)
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Authors: Ilhami
KARAHANOGLU
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Abstract: In the finance sector, in
general, a single VaR method is used for one single
portfolio or for all similar portfolios and it hampers
the opportunity for comparison. Such shortcoming
deriving from trusting one single VaR method results in
very incoherent results for the analysis as well as in
untrustable transactions based upon those risk
estimations. In order to overcome that, similar
investments tools/portfolios should be analysed
simultaneously by different VaR methods for comparison.
Considering such overcome, this study is aimed to
compare the VaR (value at risk) estimation methodologies
for all 5 separated portfolios (which are similar
considering their liquidity and investment process)
holding USD, EUR, GOLD, BIST100 Index (Istanbul Stock
Exchange Index) and BITCOIN considering their daily
return on TRL (Turkish Lira). For performance
measurement of different methodologies listed namely as
extreme value VaR (GRPD-gnadenko theorem), ewma based
volatility filtered historical simulation, historical
simulation, delta normal, and bootstrapping; the 3
backtesting procedures and the related statistics are
used.
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Keywords: Historical VaR, Delta Normal
VaR, EVT, VaR Backtesting, BITCOIN,
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Pages: 160-181 |
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Sensitivity of bank
profitability to changing in certain internal and external
variables: the case of Bosnia and Herzegovina
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Authors: Almir ALIHODZIC
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Abstract: Banking profit plays a very
crucial role in terms of providing a base for internal
growth as well as a signal for additional borrowing.
Profit is also a source for dividend payments to
shareholders and expectations for future dividend
payments. This research includes all banks in Bosnia and
Herzegovina and testing endogenous and exogenous
variables on bank profitability indicators. In addition
to credit risk, the profitability of banks in B&H is
also influenced by the financial result of operations,
which is determined by price and interest rate risk. The
primary goal of this paper is to attempt to identifying
and recognizing the factors affecting the profitability
of banks operating in Bosnia and Herzegovina. Therefore,
this research focuses on the determinants of banking
sector profitability that can be divided into two
groups, namely: internal and external factors. The
research period covered the years from 2007q1-2019q4 on
a quarterly database. The total number of observations
was 52. The paper included the OLS regression model (FE
model) and the random-effects GLS model. Both models
were appropriate for the obtained results through the
Hausman test. The results showed that the significant
influence on the dependent variables were the return on
asset (ROA) and return on equity (ROE), which has been
achieved by the following independent variables, such as
the growth rate of net profit/loss, cost to income ratio
and the growth rate of gross domestic product.
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Keywords: profitability, non-performing
loans, cost-to-income ratio, bank sector,
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Pages: 182-202 |
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Macroeconomic dynamics in China,
Laos and Vietnam: a VAR analysis
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Authors: Manuel BENAZIC, Daniel TOMIC
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Abstract: The surprising resilience of
current communist states towards democratic opening and
a mainstream neoliberal economic 'way-of-life' in the
past did not hamper their economic performances and
development perspectives as much as we would expect. In
the countries that are one-party states, in which the
institutions of the ruling party and the state have
become intertwined, ostensibly arguing for political and
economic equality, still maintaining a firm control over
the economic resources, we could expect economic
relationships that are au contraire modern economic
trends. However, China for example, a supposedly
communist economy, with its breath-taking socio-economic
progress, elusively ignores mainstream economic
vocation, progressively advancing towards establishing
itself as a sacrosanct economic force. In that manner,
the goal of this paper is to (1) evaluate the dynamics
of relevant macroeconomic variables in three current
communist states (China, Laos and Vietnam) in order to
(2) expose possible deviations to modern capitalist
trends as well as to (3) provide relevant information
that can serve as a guideline for macro policies. For
that purpose, we analyzed the relationship between the
GDP, price, money and the exchange rate by using VAR
modeling. Results revealed coherent macroeconomic
dynamics with a causality that is in accordance to a
common capitalist economic framework.
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Keywords: macroeconomic shocks,
macroeconomic dynamics, current communist states,
central planned economic systems, VAR analysis,
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Pages: 203-228 |
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The role of contract and
relationship norms in the success of Information Technology
Outsourcing
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Authors: Dilek ERDOGAN, Nuray TOKGOZ
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Abstract: Information technology
outsourcing provides several advantages for
organizations, such as reducing the cost of ownership of
IT products/services, providing rapid access to modern
technologies. However, when the outsourcing relationship
is not managed effectively, the desired results are not
always achieved. This article aims to reveal the role of
contract and relationship norms in the success of the IT
outsourcing relationship, by focusing on the Turkish
domestic market. Firstly, the measurement scales of the
research were developed by making use of the previous
studies and field interviews. Then the measurement model
and hypotheses were tested using the partial least
square method. It was concluded that both contract and
relationship norms affect IT outsourcing success, but
the contract is more effective than relationship norms
for IT outsourcing success. Furthermore, it is concluded
that relationship norms have a mediating effect between
the contract and IT outsourcing success.
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Keywords: IT outsourcing, contractural
governance, relational norms, Partial Least Square
(PLS), Turkey,
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Pages: 229-250 |
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The causal effect of education
on poverty: evidence from Turkey
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Authors: Ferhat CITAK, Patricia A.
DUFFY
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Abstract: This paper uses cross
sectional survey data to explore the two-way causality
between the household head's education level and poverty
in Turkey. In contrast with the existing studies, this
is the first study to examine the issue of a possible
endogeneity problem. For that purpose and to overcome
the simultaneity bias, we adopt the most commonly used
Instrumental Variable (IV) estimation technique,
two-stage least squares (2SLS) regression. Our IV
estimates indicate that the policy reform, which was
implemented in 1961, only increases the household head's
years of education for rural residents. Furthermore, the
higher the level of education of the household head, the
higher the household per capita income. Policy
recommendations for policymakers are addressed in the
conclusion.
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Keywords: poverty, education, income,
instrumental variable, Turkey,
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Pages: 251-265 |
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Entrepreneurship education
programme tailored to Eastern European neighbouring countries
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Authors: Dorin FESTEU, Natalia
TURLAKOVA, Rodica CRUDU
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Abstract: The purpose of this research
was to develop a framework for an Entrepreneurial
Education (EE) programme tailored to Eastern European
neighbourhood universities. A transversal design
employing Delphi method involving sixteen experts in EE
from the EU and Eastern European neighbouring countries
has been used. The research has concluded that an
Entrepreneurial Education programme in the Eastern
Europe should ideally include the following five
modules: Entrepreneurship; Innovation management;
Business planning; Intellectual Property law; Leadership
and start-up project management. The modules should
ideally be delivered in start-up centres where
opportunities are provided for the application of the
theoretical concepts. The findings provide empirical
evidence and arguments for the development of a
structure and content that is the most useful to the
students enrolled on EE programmes in the Eastern
European universities.
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Keywords: entrepreneurship in Eastern
Europe, higher education, entrepreneurship education,
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Pages: 266-287 |
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Consultants and firm-level
innovation performances: a doubly robust estimation approach
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Authors: Samuel AMPONSAH ODEI, Michael
AMPONSAH ODEI, Henry Junior ANDERSON
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Abstract: This paper examines firms use
of external consultants and commercial labs as an
essential source of knowledge for innovation performance
and activities in the IT and other information service
firms. Consultants are essential conduits to transfer
knowledge, technologies and innovations to firms and
other economic agents. Using data from the Eurostat
Community Innovations Survey conducted between 2012 and
2014 and the doubly robust estimation methodology, this
study, as expected, found a positive and statistically
significant relationship between product and process
innovations, intramural R&D, engagement in R&D, market
introduction of innovations, engagement in other
preparation influenced firms to rely on the services of
external consultants. The results of the
propensity-score matching also show that on average,
firms that relied on the services of consultants were
61% more likely to improve their product innovations and
62% organizational innovations than those firms that
didn't use them. The results are important for firm
managers who are aiming to be innovative and can serve
as a practical guide on how to improve firm-level
innovation potentials and activities.
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Keywords: consultants, innovations,
knowledge transfers, R&D, Czech Republic,
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Pages: 288-311 |
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The European Community and
Yugoslavia's Non-Alignment Policy:
from acceptance and collaboration to disillusionment and
confrontation
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Authors: Branislav RADELJIC
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Abstract: The normalization of
relations between Belgrade and Moscow in the mid-1950s
and the Yugoslav authorities' decision to develop closer
relations with the West coincided with Yugoslavia's
intention to seek its own way forward, characterized by
self-management at home and a lead role in the
international Non-Aligned Movement. Later, following the
establishment of official relations between the European
Community and Yugoslavia in 1968, the Community accepted
that Yugoslavia remained where it stood ideologically
and continued to provide it with new trade agreements.
However, a careful examination of official debates and
archival collections reveals that it did not take long
before the appreciation for the policy of non-alignment
was overshadowed by uncertainty (due to the death of
President Tito, but also the end of the Cold War and
collapse of communism), with the movement eventually
losing its significance with the outbreak of the
Yugoslav state crisis and consequent policy-making
preferences.
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Keywords: Yugoslavia, European
Community, Non-Aligned Movement, international
collaboration,
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Pages: 312-333 |
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The European army concept - an
end-goal or a wake-up call for European security and defence?
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Authors: Sandro KNEZOVIC, Marco ESTEVES
LOPES
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Abstract: The article contextualises
the concept of the European army within wider European
security and defence discourse. The European Union (EU)
is facing complex challenges, which requires a strategic
approach to IR. This research examines the EU's
strategic posture and capacities in the international
arena by employing two leading concepts of IR theory -
constructivism and realism. Since the EU operates in an
interlinked world, the article takes into account a
wider geostrategic environment and heterogeneity of
concepts and interests of actors in various pockets of
the globe, offering viable future perspectives for the
phenomena in its focus. It suggests a functional
development of a EU's strategic culture and a fine-tuned
reconsideration of its exclusively constructivist
approach to contemporary security challenges.
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Keywords: European army, defence and
security, strategy, Euro-Atlantic community,
international relations,
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Pages: 334-352 |
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Evaluating the level of economic
security of the EU energy markets
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Authors: Uliana SYTAILO, Oksana
OKHRIMENKO
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Abstract: The research encompasses
analysing the conformity of profiles of energy
strategies approved by the EU member countries, with
criteria of security in the energy market determined by
the requirements of the current European energy
legislation. To assess the level of economic security of
energy markets, it is proposed to rank national energy
markets according to economic security indicators,
taking into account the structure of energy markets in
terms of participants and functions. This enables to
objectively streamline the markets of electricity of the
EU member countries in the form of ranking for
ascertaining their positions under conditions of
creating a single competitive energy market.
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Keywords: economic security, energy
market, strategy, evaluation, ranking,
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Pages: 353-377 |
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A gentle sceptic: Martin
Feldstein and the euro
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Authors: Radu SIMANDAN
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Abstract: This article traces the
complex path that Martin Feldstein followed, for more
than twenty years, in his principled critique of the
European common currency project. Involved in the debate
on the euro from its early stages to the tumultuous
times of the sovereign debt crisis and the resulting
recession, author of numerous articles in the academic
and popular press, drawing his arguments from economics
and political economy, he contributed to the development
of an American vision on monetary unification in the EU.
Studying this extended body of literature proves to be
an interesting way to explore the sinuous discussion on
the euro from the theoretical, applied and public-debate
perspectives.
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Keywords: euro, EMU, Martin Feldstein,
US economists, monetary unification,
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Pages: 378-395 |
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Union based on the rule of law:
the Court of Justice of the European Union and the (future of)
European integration
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Authors: Hristina RUNCHEVA TASEV,
Milena APOSTOLOVSKA-STEPANOSKA, Leposava OGNJANOSKA
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Abstract: The judicial contribution to
the dynamic process of European Integration was
especially important, as the Court of Justice of the EU,
through its creative and extensive interpretation of the
Treaties, became an important catalyst for the
integration process. The next phase of the European
integration seems to be the 'integration through the
rule of law', as the further development of this process
must be based on a secure and solid ground, reaffirming
the Union as a community of values. Given its importance
for the confidence of citizens in the Union and the
effective delivery of policies, the rule of law is of
central relevance to the future of Europe. The main aim
of this paper is to examine the progressive and
influential role of the CJEU regarding the integration
process, as a starting premise for determining its
potential as an actor in the process of overcoming the
following challenges.
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Keywords: European Integration, CJEU,
Rule of Law, Integration through Law,
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Pages: 396-426 |
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International migration policies
in two post-communist countries: comparative evidence from
Romania and Poland
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Authors: Mihaela MATEI, Monica ROMAN,
Alexandru FLOREA, Adina IORGANDA
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Abstract: In the nineties, Romania and
Poland were perceived as the largest countries of
emigration and sources of irregular migration to Western
Europe states. Later, the dynamics and effects of
migration influenced migration policies in the two
countries, notably after the start of the accession
negotiations with the European Union. This study
provides a comparative analysis of labour migration
policies in Romania and Poland, investigating the effect
of the Europeanization process. Based on a qualitative
approach, we discovered a variety of policy responses to
the international labour migration dynamics. The results
showed that although the constraints of standard
European migration policies similarly influenced the
labour migration policies of the two states, they were
differently affected by the adopted national approaches.
In the context of the new, emergent migration patterns,
the study provides an analytical framework useful for
policy makers and practitioners in the field of labour
migration policies.
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Keywords: emigration and immigration
policies, labour migration policies, Europeanization,
Romania, Poland,
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Pages: 427-448 |
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BOOK REVIEW:
Peg Murray-Evans: Power in North-South Trade Negotiation. Making
the European Union's Economic Partnership Agreements. Routledge,
Abingdon - New York
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Author: Tamas SZIGETVARI
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Pages: 449-452 |
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